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So, it really depends on the team. Cluster injuries are really big like losing two or more players at a particular spot or position. He could be worth two points or two and a half points. But those numbers were really dictated by where the betting market takes it afterwards.
You saw the Dallas Cowboys in week two: They had some injuries in the secondary, they got very very thin. They had some players playing out of position and they were playing in the thin air in Denver - so that has an impact on their conditioning and their durability. Tell us a bit more about that topic please. Well covers are one of the few sites out there that keep betting statistics on specific umpires. Strike zones vary from home plate umpire to home plate umpire.
JL: Yeah. We have a great forum section a very engaged community and they love to share their systems and they love to share their strategies. One strategy that we did find, it was great, and actually a couple of our guys at the office were betting it and they were making a ton of money off of it, but it is a specific situational spot bet for baseball: You bet on MLB teams in the second half of the season who are at least 10 games over and beginning a home stand of at least six games.
So, if you have a winning team in the second half of the season this is over now but remember for next year , the second half of the season at least 10 games over and they're beginning the home stand of at least six games so they're going to have at least the next two series at home.
You're betting on them to get at least one win and then get out. Essentially if they lose the first game then you chase your losses every time so you double up your wager. You chase this until you get your win. Now with these teams it usually doesn't take too long to get that win at home. However, there is a worst-case scenario where they don't win at all during those six games and you're completely depleted.
However, like I said the guys at our office were playing this and cleaning up on it. They didn't see too many winning home teams in the second half of the season playing a series of these six games at home going two or three games, without a win.
Once a team clinches there is a bit of relief, there's a bit of a let down. And then also to the manager start saying, OK well, we have half a week left, how can I rest? I want to make sure my bullpen is good and rested for the playoffs. And so those teams need to create some chemistry and that may delay the offensive efficiency through those opening months of the season really.
It makes sense. So it's one of those trends you know you're going to want to pay attention to early on. You don't have to take it. However, I think we're going to see less of this this season, more so in the Western Conference because it's going to be so competitive in the West. In the east we essentially have Cleveland and Boston, the Raptors might be a third team in the east but still there are still steps behind those two teams.
I always like to be contrarian in those instances and say "OK well you know if LeBron's not playing then these other guys know that they've got to pick it up tonight". We always see this with the San Antonio Spurs. That was game threes and it was a during the playoffs.
That was a bit of a golden goose right there as far as NBA it's a great trend. There's no real reason behind it. MJ: Yeah. I mean the players changed so much over that ten years…. You've got to go deeper than that, you've got to look at "OK well how did they lose these games? Or were they throws that hit a receiver and the hand popped up in the air and got picked off, or were they just a chuck at the end of the game?
MJ: Thanks. I've been a user of covers. But for the most part it's all free. You can jump in there and find some great conversations and find some great info as well too. We are really a one stop shop for anything sports betting, really. Thanks a lot Jason was really nice talking to you.
He provides us with lots of great pieces of information that you should keep in mind, including: How to bet NHL totals in the first few weeks of the regular season; The impact of home plate umpires on baseball totals; How to bet NFL totals in windy or snowy conditions; A system on NBA playoff games that has yielded amazing results over the past several years.
Make sure you stay tuned until the end because it looks like he saved his best secret for last. JL: I'm doing well I'm honoured to be your first guest. JL: Thank you for the great content. MJ: What university did you go to? MJ: That's good because I just published my weekly article and I picked the jets. MJ: Most people probably bet the under.
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